Chapter 1: The Basics
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Day 6: Price Upar-Neeche Kyun Hoti Hai?
Pyaaz aur petrol wali theory shares mein bhi kaam aati hai!
2 min read
📖 Ramesh Tea Ka Share Price Kyun Badha?
January: Ramesh Tea share ₹100 pe tha.
March: PM Modi ne chai pe tax khatam kiya. Ramesh Tea share ₹150 ho gaya!
July: Ek major chai competitor ne market mein aake Ramesh ki sales 30% cut kar di. Share ₹90 pe aa gaya.
Kyun? Kyunki expectations aur demand change hoti hain!
January: Ramesh Tea share ₹100 pe tha.
March: PM Modi ne chai pe tax khatam kiya. Ramesh Tea share ₹150 ho gaya!
July: Ek major chai competitor ne market mein aake Ramesh ki sales 30% cut kar di. Share ₹90 pe aa gaya.
Kyun? Kyunki expectations aur demand change hoti hain!
Supply-Demand — Purana Lekin Golden Formula
Zyada Buyers → Price Up 📈
100 log bechna chahte hain
+
500 log khareedna chahte hain
=
Price UPAR jaati hai ⬆️
5 Cheezein Jo Price Badilti Hain
1. 📢 Company News
Quarterly results: Profit zyada = share up 🚀
CEO resign kiya = share down ⬇️
New product launch = usually up 📈
Quarterly results: Profit zyada = share up 🚀
CEO resign kiya = share down ⬇️
New product launch = usually up 📈
2. 🏛️ Government Policy
Tax cut on sector = sector stocks up
New regulation = uncertainty = down
Budget announcements = huge moves!
Tax cut on sector = sector stocks up
New regulation = uncertainty = down
Budget announcements = huge moves!
3. 🌍 Global Events
US market crash → India bhi girta hai
Oil price up → Transport stocks down
Rupee fall → IT exports up! (Infosys, TCS)
US market crash → India bhi girta hai
Oil price up → Transport stocks down
Rupee fall → IT exports up! (Infosys, TCS)
4. 😰 Sentiment (Mood)
Euphoria: Sab khareedna chahte hain
Panic: Sab bechna chahte hain
Mood market se zyada powerful hai sometimes!
Euphoria: Sab khareedna chahte hain
Panic: Sab bechna chahte hain
Mood market se zyada powerful hai sometimes!
🎉 Pyaaz Theory of Markets!
2019 mein pyaaz ₹80/kg hua toh sab drama ho gaya! Agar onion futures listed hoti toh price pehle se hi reflect ho jaata. Stock market aisa hi karta hai — future expectations ko aaj ki price mein "bake in" karta hai. Isliye market ko "forward looking" bolte hain! 🧅
2019 mein pyaaz ₹80/kg hua toh sab drama ho gaya! Agar onion futures listed hoti toh price pehle se hi reflect ho jaata. Stock market aisa hi karta hai — future expectations ko aaj ki price mein "bake in" karta hai. Isliye market ko "forward looking" bolte hain! 🧅
Real Indian Examples
| Event | Stock | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| COVID-19 lockdown (Mar 2020) | Aviation stocks | -70% in weeks 😱 |
| UPI launch success | Fintech stocks | Massive gains |
| Adani controversy (2023) | Adani Group | -50% in days |
| Budget: Defense boost | HAL, BEL | +15-20% single day |
⚠️ Important Warning!
Stock prices short term mein bohot unpredictable hain. Koi bhi ek news se price 10% upar ya neeche ja sakti hai ek din mein. Isliye short-term trading mein bahut risk hai. Long term mein, fundamentals matter karte hain. Patience is key! 🙏
Stock prices short term mein bohot unpredictable hain. Koi bhi ek news se price 10% upar ya neeche ja sakti hai ek din mein. Isliye short-term trading mein bahut risk hai. Long term mein, fundamentals matter karte hain. Patience is key! 🙏
🎯 Takeaway:
Share price = supply aur demand ka result. Zyada log khareedna chahein = price up. Zyada log bechna chahein = price down. News, government policies, global events, aur human emotions — sab milke price banate hain. Kal — Bull Market aur Bear Market ka full drama!
Share price = supply aur demand ka result. Zyada log khareedna chahein = price up. Zyada log bechna chahein = price down. News, government policies, global events, aur human emotions — sab milke price banate hain. Kal — Bull Market aur Bear Market ka full drama!